· H2 Mathematics — Ten-Year Series, worked ← All 11 questions

2020 A-Level · Paper 1 · Question 10

2020 H2 Maths Paper 1, Question 10

Differential equations 14 marks population model
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Part (i)

2 marks

Since the death rate exceeds the birth rate by 3%3\% of the population every year, PP decreases at a rate proportional to itself, with constant of proportionality 0.030.03.

dPdt=−0.03P\frac{dP}{dt} = - 0.03P

Part (ii)

4 marks

Separating variables and integrating,

∫1P dP=∫−0.03 dt\int\frac{1}{P}\, dP = \int - 0.03\, dt
⇒ln⁡P=−0.03t+c\Rightarrow \ln P = - 0.03t + c
⇒P=Ae−0.03t, where A=ec\Rightarrow P = Ae^{- 0.03t},\ \text{where}\ A = e^{c}

Let P0P_{0} be the initial number of sheep, at t=0t = 0. Then A=P0A = P_{0}:

P=P0e−0.03tP = P_{0}e^{- 0.03t}
To check your answer: differentiating gives dPdt=−0.03P0e−0.03t=−0.03P\frac{dP}{dt} = - 0.03P_{0}e^{- 0.03t} = - 0.03P, matching the differential equation of part (i). ✓

As t→∞t \rightarrow \infty, e−0.03t→0e^{- 0.03t} \rightarrow 0, so P→0P \rightarrow 0.

∴\therefore P=P0e−0.03tP = P_{0}e^{- 0.03t}; if this situation continues over many years, the sheep population decreases indefinitely towards zero, i.e. it eventually dies out.

Part (iii)

2 marks

Sheep are now imported at a constant rate of nn per year, added to the existing 3%3\% decline.

dPdt=−0.03P+n\frac{dP}{dt} = - 0.03P + n

Part (iv)

4 marks

Approach

with a constant term added, we still separate variables, but the left side integrates to a logarithm of n−0.03Pn - 0.03P rather than of PP alone.

∫1n−0.03P dP=∫dt\int\frac{1}{n - 0.03P}\, dP = \int dt
⇒−10.03ln⁡∣n−0.03P∣=t+c\Rightarrow - \frac{1}{0.03}\ln|n - 0.03P| = t + c
⇒ln⁡∣n−0.03P∣=−0.03t−0.03c\Rightarrow \ln|n - 0.03P| = - 0.03t - 0.03c
⇒n−0.03P=Be−0.03t, where B=±e−0.03c\Rightarrow n - 0.03P = Be^{- 0.03t},\ \text{where}\ B = \pm e^{- 0.03c}
P=n−Be−0.03t0.03P = \frac{n - Be^{- 0.03t}}{0.03}
=n0.03−B0.03e−0.03t= \frac{n}{0.03} - \frac{B}{0.03}e^{- 0.03t}

Using the initial condition P=P0P = P_{0} at t=0t = 0,

P0=n0.03−B0.03P_{0} = \frac{n}{0.03} - \frac{B}{0.03}
⇒B0.03=n0.03−P0\Rightarrow \frac{B}{0.03} = \frac{n}{0.03} - P_{0}

Substituting back,

P=n0.03−(n0.03−P0)e−0.03tP = \frac{n}{0.03} - \left( \frac{n}{0.03} - P_{0} \right)e^{- 0.03t}
=n0.03+(P0−n0.03)e−0.03t= \frac{n}{0.03} + \left( P_{0} - \frac{n}{0.03} \right)e^{- 0.03t}
To check your answer: at t=0t = 0, P=n0.03+(P0−n0.03)=P0P = \frac{n}{0.03} + \left( P_{0} - \frac{n}{0.03} \right) = P_{0} ✓; differentiating gives dPdt=−0.03(P0−n0.03)e−0.03t=−0.03(P−n0.03)=−0.03P+n\frac{dP}{dt} = - 0.03\left( P_{0} - \frac{n}{0.03} \right)e^{- 0.03t} = - 0.03\left( P - \frac{n}{0.03} \right) = - 0.03P + n, matching the differential equation of part (iii). ✓

∴\therefore P=n0.03+(P0−n0.03)e−0.03tP = \frac{n}{0.03} + \left( P_{0} - \frac{n}{0.03} \right)e^{- 0.03t}.

Part (v)

2 marks

As t→∞t \rightarrow \infty, e−0.03t→0e^{- 0.03t} \rightarrow 0, so PP settles to the steady-state value n0.03\frac{n}{0.03}. Setting this equal to 500500,

n0.03=500\frac{n}{0.03} = 500
⇒n=500×0.03\Rightarrow n = 500 \times 0.03
=15= 15
To check your answer: with n=15n = 15, the steady-state population is 150.03=500\frac{15}{0.03} = 500, matching the given value. ✓

∴\therefore n=15n = 15.

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