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2020 A-Level · Paper 2 · Question 7

2020 H2 Maths Paper 2, Question 7

Correlation and regression 8 marks transformed models
Download Paper 2 solutions (PDF)

Part (i)

2 marks
Sketch for question 7
r=−0.848 (by GC)r = - 0.848\ \text{(by GC)}

∴\therefore the product moment correlation coefficient between dd and tt is −0.848- 0.848, correct to 3 s.f.

Part (ii)

5 marks

Approach

the model d=−a+bud = - a + bu is linear in uu, so we regress dd on u=1tu = \frac{1}{t} (not on tt) to find aa and bb.

Using u=1tu = \frac{1}{t}, the data become

uu 132\frac{1}{32} 141\frac{1}{41} 150\frac{1}{50} 159\frac{1}{59} 168\frac{1}{68}
dd 172172 5757 2727 1919 1414

By GC, the regression line of dd on uu is

d=−145+9460u (by GC)d = - 145 + 9460u\ \text{(by GC)}

so −a=−145- a = - 145 and b=9460b = 9460, giving

a=145,b=9460a = 145,\quad\quad b = 9460

both correct to 3 s.f.

r=0.941 (by GC)r = 0.941\ \text{(by GC)}

∴a=145\therefore a = 145, b=9460b = 9460, and the product moment correlation coefficient between dd and uu is 0.9410.941, all correct to 3 s.f.

Part (iii)

1 mark

At t=86t = 86, using Lim’s model,

d=−145+946086d = - 145 + \frac{9460}{86}
=−35.0 (3 s.f.)= - 35.0\ \text{(3 s.f.)}

This is negative, which is meaningless for a number of days, and very far from the actual value 3232.

Explanation: t=86t = 86 lies well outside the range of the given data (32≤t≤6832 \leq t \leq 68), so using the model here is an extrapolation; a negative predicted number of days shows the model does not fit this additional data, even though ∣r∣=0.941|r| = 0.941 is close to 11 within the original data range.

∴\therefore Lim’s model does not fit the additional data.

Part (iv)

Approach

we substitute tt in terms of TT into the equation from (ii). Rearranging C=59(F−32)C = \frac{5}{9}(F - 32) for FF (with F=tF = t and C=TC = T here) gives tt in terms of TT, which we substitute into d=−a+bu=−a+btd = - a + bu = - a + \frac{b}{t}.

Since T=59(t−32)T = \frac{5}{9}(t - 32),

t=95T+32t = \frac{9}{5}T + 32

Substituting into d=−145+9460td = - 145 + \frac{9460}{t} from part (ii),

d=−145+946095T+32d = - 145 + \frac{9460}{\frac{9}{5}T + 32}

∴d=−145+946095T+32\therefore d = - 145 + \frac{9460}{\frac{9}{5}T + 32}.

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